NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CAMP VCU
Points 58.2 78.2
Total Points   136.4
Points From 2-Pointers 26.1 32.5
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 34.2
Points From Free Throws 13.1 11.5
Shooting CAMP VCU
Field Goals Made 19.4 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 52.6 57.5
Field Goal % 36.9% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 13.0 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 31.6 28.2
2 Point Shooting % 41.3% 57.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 29.3
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 13.1 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 14.9
Free Throw % 71.6% 77.2%
Ball Control CAMP VCU
Rebounds 28.6 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 29.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.4 9.6
Turnovers 11.4 10.0
Blocked Shots 1.1 5.3
Steals 5.5 7.1
Fouls 13.3 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Campbell

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CAMP VCU
Total Possessions 67.7
Effective Scoring Chances 62.8 67.3
% of Possessions with CAMP VCU
2 Point Attempt 41.4% 36.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 37.6%
Player Fouled 21.9% 19.6%
Turnover 16.8% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken CAMP VCU
Shot Blocked 9.2% 2.2%
Offensive Rebound 18.2% 30.2%