NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UND SDAK
Points 80.8 73.4
Total Points   154.2
Points From 2-Pointers 40.1 40.2
Points From 3-Pointers 27.3 21.1
Points From Free Throws 13.4 12.1
Shooting UND SDAK
Field Goals Made 29.1 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 64.9 58.5
Field Goal % 44.9% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 40.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 26.6 18.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 13.4 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 15.9
Free Throw % 71.7% 76.4%
Ball Control UND SDAK
Rebounds 37.5 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 7.6
Turnovers 6.4 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.3 1.0
Steals 6.4 3.0
Fouls 13.7 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: South Dakota

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UND SDAK
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 76.7 67.9
% of Possessions with UND SDAK
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 50.4%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 22.5%
Player Fouled 20.7% 19.2%
Turnover 9.0% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 4.2% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UND SDAK
Shot Blocked 1.8% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 22.8%