NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UND ORU
Points 73.1 71.2
Total Points   144.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 36.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.9 23.7
Points From Free Throws 14.4 11.3
Shooting UND ORU
Field Goals Made 25.4 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 58.9
Field Goal % 41.6% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 24.0 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 14.4 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 14.6
Free Throw % 71.7% 77.1%
Ball Control UND ORU
Rebounds 39.7 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 6.8
Turnovers 8.1 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.4
Steals 5.1 4.6
Fouls 11.9 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: North Dakota

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UND ORU
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 73.4 67.5
% of Possessions with UND ORU
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 27.7%
Player Fouled 22.9% 17.1%
Turnover 11.6% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UND ORU
Shot Blocked 4.1% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 30.8% 19.7%