NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UND SDST
Points 69.6 75.2
Total Points   144.8
Points From 2-Pointers 28.9 40.9
Points From 3-Pointers 29.5 22.6
Points From Free Throws 11.2 11.7
Shooting UND SDST
Field Goals Made 24.3 28.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 57.0
Field Goal % 40.6% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.5 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 30.1 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 29.7 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 11.2 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 16.0
Free Throw % 71.7% 73.3%
Ball Control UND SDST
Rebounds 34.3 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 6.7
Turnovers 9.4 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.2
Steals 6.3 5.3
Fouls 14.4 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: S Dakota St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UND SDST
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 66.4
% of Possessions with UND SDST
2 Point Attempt 37.7% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 37.2% 26.0%
Player Fouled 18.8% 20.9%
Turnover 13.6% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UND SDST
Shot Blocked 3.9% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 21.5%