NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UND MILW
Points 76.5 78.6
Total Points   155.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.4 44.6
Points From 3-Pointers 25.5 19.1
Points From Free Throws 15.6 14.8
Shooting UND MILW
Field Goals Made 26.2 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 63.3 62.2
Field Goal % 41.4% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 22.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 42.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.0% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 26.4 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 15.6 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 20.2
Free Throw % 71.7% 73.5%
Ball Control UND MILW
Rebounds 37.4 39.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 11.7
Turnovers 8.8 9.8
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.4
Steals 5.6 4.9
Fouls 14.5 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: WI-Milwkee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UND MILW
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 76.6 74.4
% of Possessions with UND MILW
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 49.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 23.0%
Player Fouled 22.7% 20.0%
Turnover 12.1% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UND MILW
Shot Blocked 5.5% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 31.6% 32.2%