NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UND M-OH
Points 67.6 68.8
Total Points   136.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 22.1
Points From Free Throws 13.5 11.4
Shooting UND M-OH
Field Goals Made 23.5 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 56.5
Field Goal % 40.1% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 29.3% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 13.5 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 15.9
Free Throw % 71.7% 71.5%
Ball Control UND M-OH
Rebounds 38.9 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 6.4
Turnovers 10.2 9.8
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.4
Steals 6.1 5.8
Fouls 14.6 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: North Dakota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UND M-OH
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 65.9
% of Possessions with UND M-OH
2 Point Attempt 41.4% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 25.4%
Player Fouled 21.9% 21.0%
Turnover 14.7% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UND M-OH
Shot Blocked 4.3% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 30.3% 19.0%