NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UND KC
Points 67.9 68.3
Total Points   136.1
Points From 2-Pointers 31.4 34.0
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 22.2
Points From Free Throws 17.7 12.1
Shooting UND KC
Field Goals Made 22.0 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 52.7 58.6
Field Goal % 41.7% 41.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 31.5 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 29.5% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 17.7 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 16.8
Free Throw % 71.7% 72.1%
Ball Control UND KC
Rebounds 35.1 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 10.1
Turnovers 10.4 10.4
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.9
Steals 5.7 5.4
Fouls 14.3 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas City

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UND KC
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 69.3
% of Possessions with UND KC
2 Point Attempt 39.8% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 28.1%
Player Fouled 26.9% 20.5%
Turnover 14.9% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UND KC
Shot Blocked 5.1% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 27.5%