NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UND KSU
Points 64.8 76.4
Total Points   141.1
Points From 2-Pointers 29.6 41.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.2 19.3
Points From Free Throws 14.9 15.6
Shooting UND KSU
Field Goals Made 21.6 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 56.1
Field Goal % 35.6% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 41.0% 55.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 27.6% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 14.9 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 21.7
Free Throw % 71.7% 71.9%
Ball Control UND KSU
Rebounds 34.3 40.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.4 30.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 10.0
Turnovers 9.4 11.3
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.3
Steals 6.8 5.3
Fouls 15.7 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UND KSU
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 73.4 69.6
% of Possessions with UND KSU
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 23.0%
Player Fouled 22.2% 22.2%
Turnover 13.3% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken UND KSU
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 30.8%