NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UND UVU
Points 68.5 82.7
Total Points   151.1
Points From 2-Pointers 29.7 43.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 21.4
Points From Free Throws 17.8 17.4
Shooting UND UVU
Field Goals Made 21.8 29.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 51.5
Field Goal % 39.6% 56.4%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 21.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 33.0
2 Point Shooting % 42.7% 66.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 17.8 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 25.6 25.0
Free Throw % 69.5% 69.7%
Ball Control UND UVU
Rebounds 25.8 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 16.0 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 11.0
Turnovers 11.6 15.1
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.8
Steals 9.3 7.3
Fouls 18.2 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: North Dakota

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UND UVU
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 68.0
% of Possessions with UND UVU
2 Point Attempt 41.4% 39.2%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 22.1%
Player Fouled 25.2% 25.3%
Turnover 16.0% 21.0%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 12.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UND UVU
Shot Blocked 9.5% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 40.6%