NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UND UVU
Points 69.4 81.6
Total Points   151.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 46.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.5 18.7
Points From Free Throws 13.1 16.3
Shooting UND UVU
Field Goals Made 24.6 29.5
Field Goals Attempted 62.2 58.0
Field Goal % 39.5% 50.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 23.3
2 Pointers Attempted 40.6 39.5
2 Point Shooting % 42.8% 58.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 18.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 13.1 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 23.8
Free Throw % 70.8% 68.7%
Ball Control UND UVU
Rebounds 33.9 38.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 10.0
Turnovers 10.1 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.7 6.0
Steals 5.0 5.9
Fouls 16.9 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Utah Valley

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UND UVU
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 72.7 72.5
% of Possessions with UND UVU
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 22.3%
Player Fouled 20.8% 23.6%
Turnover 14.1% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UND UVU
Shot Blocked 10.4% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 30.4%