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Illinois at Wisconsin
Sat Feb 27, 2021
2:00pm ET
Madison, WI
Illinois at Wisconsin: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Wisconsin by 5, Total Points: 135.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ILL | adv | WIS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-14-3 | 16-19-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-9-1 | 11-12-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 7-9-2 | 8-8-1 | |
| Away | 14-5-1 | 8-11-0 |
Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | E Illinois | -29.5 | W by 28 | -1.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Oakland | -24.5 | W by 11 | -13.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Marquette | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Valparaiso | -29.5 | W by 23 | -6.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Southern | -25.0 | W by 28 | +3.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | W Illinois | -27.0 | W by 32 | +5.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Rutgers | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Tennessee | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Colgate | -17.0 | W by 17 | 0.0 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | Missouri | -6.5 | W by 24 | +17.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | F Dickinson | -25.5 | W by 33 | +7.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Northwestern | -5.5 | W by 30 | +24.5 |
| 01/05 | Away | Purdue | +10.5 | L by 5 | +5.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Michigan St | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Maryland | -9.0 | L by 9 | -18.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Michigan | -2.5 | W by 15 | +12.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Rutgers | -11.0 | W by 23 | +12.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Northwestern | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Indiana | -15.0 | W by 8 | -7.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Nebraska | -10.0 | W by 3 | -7.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Michigan St | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Michigan | -15.5 | W by 29 | +13.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Maryland | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Penn St | -7.5 | L by 1 | -8.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Iowa | -9.5 | W by 10 | +0.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Minnesota | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Wisconsin | +3.0 | W by 8 | +11.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Purdue | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | Iowa | -2.0 | W by 12 | +10.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Ohio St | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Nebraska | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Morehead St | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Duquesne | -10.0 | W by 26 | +16.0 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Iowa St | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Connecticut | +8.0 | L by 25 | -17.0 |
Wisconsin Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Arkansas St | -14.0 | W by 29 | +15.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Providence | -1.0 | L by 13 | -14.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Rob Morris | -20.0 | W by 10 | -10.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Virginia | +3.5 | W by 24 | +27.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | S Methodist | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | W Illinois | -27.5 | W by 22 | -5.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Marquette | +3.0 | W by 11 | +14.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | Michigan St | +5.5 | W by 13 | +18.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Arizona | +9.5 | L by 25 | -15.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Jksnville St | -19.0 | W by 15 | -4.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Chicago St | -24.5 | W by 27 | +2.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Iowa | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Nebraska | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Ohio St | +3.0 | W by 11 | +14.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Northwestern | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Penn St | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | Indiana | -12.0 | W by 12 | 0.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Minnesota | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 01/26 | Home | Michigan St | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | Nebraska | (Pick) | L by 8 | -8.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Purdue | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Michigan | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Rutgers | -3.5 | L by 22 | -25.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Ohio St | -9.0 | W by 8 | -1.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Iowa | +1.0 | L by 2 | -1.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Maryland | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Indiana | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Illinois | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 03/07 | Home | Rutgers | -10.0 | W by 12 | +2.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Purdue | +10.0 | L by 8 | +2.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Maryland | -4.0 | W by 31 | +27.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Northwestern | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Purdue | +6.0 | W by 1 | +7.0 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Illinois | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | James Mad | -4.5 | L by 11 | -15.5 |
| WIS -5.0 | Open | -1.0 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3176 games where the closing line favored the home team by 4 to 6 points. In these games:
- The team like Wisconsin won the game 2176 times (68.5%).
- The team like Illinois won the game 1000 times (31.5%).
- The team like Wisconsin did better against the spread, going 1611-1485-80 (52.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 250 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Illinois did better against the spread, going 133-110-7 (54.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.8 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -5.0 | -5.0 |
| Open | -3.5 | -3.5 | -3.5 |
| History | |||
| 02/27 02:05 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 01:44 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 02/27 01:32 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 01:04 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/27 12:56 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 12:26 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 12:15 PM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 02/27 11:59 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 11:24 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 02/27 11:17 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 11:15 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 02/27 11:05 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 11:05 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 02/27 10:26 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 09:50 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 08:24 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/27 07:50 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 07:05 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 02/27 06:55 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 02/27 04:26 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 01:54 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/27 01:50 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 11:55 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 02/26 09:44 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 07:32 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 06:53 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 06:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
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