NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ILL WIS
Points 81.6 77.0
Total Points   158.6
Points From 2-Pointers 41.7 44.4
Points From 3-Pointers 23.3 18.8
Points From Free Throws 16.7 13.8
Shooting ILL WIS
Field Goals Made 28.6 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 61.8
Field Goal % 51.3% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.8 22.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 44.3
2 Point Shooting % 58.6% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 17.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 16.7 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 18.4
Free Throw % 73.8% 75.1%
Ball Control ILL WIS
Rebounds 34.8 31.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 22.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 9.1
Turnovers 8.7 6.9
Blocked Shots 3.6 1.7
Steals 3.4 4.9
Fouls 14.7 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Wisconsin

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ILL WIS
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 72.4
% of Possessions with ILL WIS
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 55.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 21.7%
Player Fouled 23.4% 21.0%
Turnover 12.5% 9.8%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 4.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ILL WIS
Shot Blocked 2.7% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 25.6%