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Illinois vs. Texas
Tue Dec 6, 2022
7:00pm ET
New York, NY
(Neutral Site)
Illinois vs. Texas: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Texas by 3, Total Points: 142
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ILL | adv | TEX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-14-3 | 14-20-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-9-1 | 8-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 7-9-2 | 7-11-0 | |
| Away | 14-5-1 | 7-9-0 |
Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | E Illinois | -29.5 | W by 28 | -1.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Oakland | -24.5 | W by 11 | -13.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Marquette | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Valparaiso | -29.5 | W by 23 | -6.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Southern | -25.0 | W by 28 | +3.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | W Illinois | -27.0 | W by 32 | +5.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Rutgers | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Tennessee | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Colgate | -17.0 | W by 17 | 0.0 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | Missouri | -6.5 | W by 24 | +17.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | F Dickinson | -25.5 | W by 33 | +7.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Northwestern | -5.5 | W by 30 | +24.5 |
| 01/05 | Away | Purdue | +10.5 | L by 5 | +5.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Michigan St | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Maryland | -9.0 | L by 9 | -18.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Michigan | -2.5 | W by 15 | +12.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Rutgers | -11.0 | W by 23 | +12.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Northwestern | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Indiana | -15.0 | W by 8 | -7.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Nebraska | -10.0 | W by 3 | -7.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Michigan St | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Michigan | -15.5 | W by 29 | +13.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Maryland | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Penn St | -7.5 | L by 1 | -8.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Iowa | -9.5 | W by 10 | +0.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Minnesota | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Wisconsin | +3.0 | W by 8 | +11.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Purdue | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | Iowa | -2.0 | W by 12 | +10.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Ohio St | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Nebraska | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Morehead St | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Duquesne | -10.0 | W by 26 | +16.0 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Iowa St | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Connecticut | +8.0 | L by 25 | -17.0 |
Texas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Incar Word | -31.0 | W by 32 | +1.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Delaware St | -32.5 | W by 27 | -5.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Rice | -20.5 | W by 16 | -4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Louisville | -17.5 | W by 1 | -16.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Connecticut | +6.5 | L by 10 | -3.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Wyoming | -16.0 | W by 23 | +7.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Texas St | -19.5 | W by 19 | -0.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Marquette | +8.5 | L by 21 | -12.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Hsn Christian | -33.0 | W by 27 | -6.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | LSU | -7.0 | W by 11 | +4.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | TX A&M-CC | -23.5 | W by 16 | -7.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -15.5 | W by 35 | +19.5 |
| 01/01 | Home | TX-Arlington | -18.0 | W by 17 | -1.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Texas Tech | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Cincinnati | +5.0 | W by 1 | +6.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | W Virginia | -6.0 | L by 3 | -9.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | UCF | -8.5 | L by 6 | -14.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Baylor | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Oklahoma | +4.5 | W by 15 | +19.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | BYU | +7.5 | L by 12 | -4.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Houston | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | TX Christian | +4.5 | W by 11 | +15.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Iowa St | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | W Virginia | -13.0 | W by 36 | +23.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Houston | +10.0 | L by 21 | -11.0 |
| 02/19 | Home | Kansas St | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Kansas | +7.0 | L by 19 | -12.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Texas Tech | +3.5 | W by 12 | +15.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Oklahoma St | -10.0 | W by 16 | +6.0 |
| 03/04 | Away | Baylor | +7.0 | L by 8 | -1.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Oklahoma | -5.5 | W by 14 | +8.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Kansas St | -6.0 | L by 4 | -10.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Colorado St | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Tennessee | +6.5 | L by 4 | +2.5 |
| TEX -3.5 | Open | -4.5 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3199 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Texas won the game 1923 times (60.1%).
- The team like Illinois won the game 1276 times (39.9%).
- The team like Texas did better against the spread, going 1585-1537-77 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1689 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Illinois did better against the spread, going 857-803-29 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/06 07:04 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 06:52 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 06:28 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 06:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/06 05:56 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 05:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/06 05:13 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 04:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/06 04:28 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 04:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/06 03:55 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 03:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/06 03:26 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 02:16 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 02:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/06 01:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/06 01:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/06 12:31 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 10:43 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 10:01 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 06:16 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 06:07 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 03:34 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/06 03:04 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 01:10 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 11:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/05 07:58 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 07:43 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/05 05:05 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
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