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Illinois at Michigan
Tue Mar 2, 2021
7:00pm ET
Ann Arbor, MI
Illinois at Michigan: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan by 8.5, Total Points: 145
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ILL | adv | MICH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-14-3 | 8-24-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-9-1 | 4-17-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 7-9-2 | 5-10-0 | |
| Away | 14-5-1 | 3-14-0 |
Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | E Illinois | -29.5 | W by 28 | -1.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Oakland | -24.5 | W by 11 | -13.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Marquette | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Valparaiso | -29.5 | W by 23 | -6.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Southern | -25.0 | W by 28 | +3.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | W Illinois | -27.0 | W by 32 | +5.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Rutgers | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Tennessee | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Colgate | -17.0 | W by 17 | 0.0 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | Missouri | -6.5 | W by 24 | +17.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | F Dickinson | -25.5 | W by 33 | +7.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Northwestern | -5.5 | W by 30 | +24.5 |
| 01/05 | Away | Purdue | +10.5 | L by 5 | +5.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Michigan St | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Maryland | -9.0 | L by 9 | -18.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Michigan | -2.5 | W by 15 | +12.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Rutgers | -11.0 | W by 23 | +12.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Northwestern | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Indiana | -15.0 | W by 8 | -7.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Nebraska | -10.0 | W by 3 | -7.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Michigan St | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Michigan | -15.5 | W by 29 | +13.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Maryland | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Penn St | -7.5 | L by 1 | -8.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Iowa | -9.5 | W by 10 | +0.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Minnesota | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Wisconsin | +3.0 | W by 8 | +11.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Purdue | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | Iowa | -2.0 | W by 12 | +10.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Ohio St | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Nebraska | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Morehead St | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Duquesne | -10.0 | W by 26 | +16.0 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Iowa St | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Connecticut | +8.0 | L by 25 | -17.0 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | NC-Asheville | -10.5 | W by 25 | +14.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Youngs St | -16.5 | W by 30 | +13.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | St Johns | +3.0 | W by 16 | +19.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Lg Beach St | -15.0 | L by 8 | -23.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Stanford | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Texas Tech | -2.5 | L by 16 | -18.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | L by 3 | -9.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Iowa | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | E Michigan | -23.5 | W by 17 | -6.5 |
| 12/19 | Neutral | Florida | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | McNeese St | -10.5 | L by 11 | -21.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Minnesota | -5.5 | L by 2 | -7.5 |
| 01/07 | Neutral | Penn St | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Maryland | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Ohio St | -1.5 | W by 8 | +6.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Illinois | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Purdue | +18.0 | L by 32 | -14.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Iowa | -1.5 | L by 10 | -11.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Michigan St | +12.0 | L by 19 | -7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Rutgers | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Wisconsin | +8.0 | W by 4 | +12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Nebraska | +10.0 | L by 20 | -10.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Illinois | +15.5 | L by 29 | -13.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Michigan St | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Northwestern | +11.5 | L by 14 | -2.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Purdue | +13.5 | L by 8 | +5.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Rutgers | +8.0 | L by 30 | -22.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Ohio St | +12.0 | L by 23 | -11.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Nebraska | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Penn St | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
| MICH -8.5 | Open | -8.5 | High | -9.0 |
| Last | -9.0 | Low | -6.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2545 games where the closing line favored the home team by 7.5 to 9.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan won the game 2025 times (79.6%).
- The team like Illinois won the game 520 times (20.4%).
- The team like Illinois did better against the spread, going 1253-1249-43 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 471 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 246-222-3 (52.6% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -8.5 | -8.5 | -8.5 |
| Open | -8.5 | -8.5 | -8.5 |
| History | |||
| 03/02 07:04 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 03/02 06:47 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 06:44 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 03/02 06:35 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 06:35 PM | -- | -- | -8.5 |
| 03/02 06:24 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 03/02 06:15 PM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 03/02 06:14 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 03/02 06:08 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 05:54 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 03/02 05:53 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 05:45 PM | -- | -- | -8.5 |
| 03/02 05:34 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/02 05:20 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 05:05 PM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 03/02 04:54 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/02 04:45 PM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 03/02 04:41 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 04:17 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 03:59 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 02:59 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 02:20 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 01:02 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 12:59 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 12:24 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 03/02 12:15 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 03/02 12:14 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 11:34 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 03/02 11:15 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 03/02 11:14 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 09:15 AM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 03/02 09:14 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/02 08:25 AM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 03/02 08:20 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 03:24 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 03/02 03:11 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 02:44 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 03/02 01:56 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/02 12:07 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 11:44 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 03/01 11:15 PM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 03/01 10:35 PM | -- | -- | -8.5 |
| 03/01 07:23 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 05:47 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/01 05:04 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 03/01 04:47 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
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