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Notre Dame at Louisville
Sat Jan 22, 2022
4:00pm ET
Louisville, KY
Notre Dame at Louisville: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Louisville by 3, Total Points: 139
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ND | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-15-0 | 13-18-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-8-0 | 9-11-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 8-9-0 | 5-12-1 | |
| Away | 10-6-0 | 8-6-0 |
Notre Dame Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Niagara | -10.0 | W by 7 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | W Carolina | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Auburn | +14.5 | L by 24 | -9.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Oklahoma St | +7.5 | W by 2 | +9.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Maryland ES | -12.0 | W by 20 | +8.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | S Carolina | +8.0 | L by 12 | -4.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Miami | +14.5 | L by 13 | +1.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | W Michigan | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Marquette | +20.0 | L by 19 | +1.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Georgetown | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Citadel | -8.5 | L by 20 | -28.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Marist | -6.0 | W by 4 | -2.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Virginia | +9.5 | W by 22 | +31.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | NC State | +5.0 | L by 2 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Duke | +14.5 | L by 8 | +6.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | GA Tech | +6.0 | W by 7 | +13.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Florida St | +1.5 | L by 9 | -7.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Boston Col | +9.5 | L by 4 | +5.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Miami | +4.5 | L by 12 | -7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Boston Col | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Virginia | +13.5 | L by 12 | +1.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Pittsburgh | +9.0 | L by 10 | -1.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Duke | +17.0 | L by 18 | -1.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | VA Tech | +5.5 | W by 8 | +13.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | GA Tech | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Louisville | +3.0 | W by 22 | +25.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Syracuse | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Wake Forest | +6.5 | W by 5 | +11.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Clemson | +6.0 | W by 7 | +13.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | N Carolina | +16.0 | L by 33 | -17.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | VA Tech | +10.5 | L by 6 | +4.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | GA Tech | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Wake Forest | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Maryland BC | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Chattanooga | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Coppin St | -17.5 | W by 20 | +2.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Texas | +17.5 | L by 1 | +16.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Indiana | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | N Mex State | -8.5 | W by 6 | -2.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Bellarmine | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 12/03 | Away | VA Tech | +14.0 | L by 7 | +7.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | DePaul | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Arkansas St | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Pepperdine | -1.0 | W by 22 | +21.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Kentucky | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Virginia | +15.5 | L by 24 | -8.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Pittsburgh | +8.5 | L by 13 | -4.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Miami | +16.5 | W by 9 | +25.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | NC State | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | N Carolina | +21.0 | L by 16 | +5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Wake Forest | +16.0 | L by 25 | -9.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Duke | +14.0 | L by 14 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Virginia | +9.0 | L by 17 | -8.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Clemson | +16.0 | L by 6 | +10.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Florida St | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Syracuse | +8.5 | L by 2 | +6.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | GA Tech | -1.0 | W by 12 | +11.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Boston Col | +9.5 | L by 12 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Pittsburgh | +12.5 | L by 27 | -14.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Notre Dame | -3.0 | L by 22 | -25.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Duke | +20.5 | L by 25 | -4.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Syracuse | +5.0 | L by 6 | -1.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | VA Tech | +7.5 | L by 16 | -8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Boston Col | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | NC State | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| LOU -3.0 | Open | -1.5 | High | -3.0 |
| Last | -2.5 | Low | -1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3231 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Louisville won the game 1931 times (59.8%).
- The team like Notre Dame won the game 1300 times (40.2%).
- The team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 1581-1571-79 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1834 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 957-848-29 (53.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -3.0 | -3.0 |
| Open | -1.5 | -1.5 | -2.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/22 03:53 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 03:04 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 01:59 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 12:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/22 12:53 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 12:45 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 01/22 12:38 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 12:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 01/22 12:14 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 12:05 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 01/22 11:45 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 01/22 10:55 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 01/22 10:52 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 10:41 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 09:14 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 01/22 09:05 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 01/22 08:13 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 05:55 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 01:55 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 12:44 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 01/22 12:35 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 01/21 10:24 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 01/21 08:55 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 08:24 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 01/21 08:10 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
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