NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ND BC
Points 66.0 70.0
Total Points   136.0
Points From 2-Pointers 29.0 37.2
Points From 3-Pointers 25.9 22.5
Points From Free Throws 11.2 10.4
Shooting ND BC
Field Goals Made 23.1 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 58.6
Field Goal % 41.0% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 14.5 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 31.2 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 25.2 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 11.2 10.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 13.9
Free Throw % 73.7% 74.4%
Ball Control ND BC
Rebounds 35.1 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 8.5
Turnovers 10.4 8.1
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.9
Steals 5.0 5.5
Fouls 12.6 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Notre Dame

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ND BC
Total Possessions 66.7
Effective Scoring Chances 65.5 67.1
% of Possessions with ND BC
2 Point Attempt 40.2% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 32.5% 29.2%
Player Fouled 19.5% 18.9%
Turnover 15.7% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken ND BC
Shot Blocked 6.8% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 24.6%