NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ND MIA
Points 68.4 69.7
Total Points   138.2
Points From 2-Pointers 26.3 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 32.6 24.5
Points From Free Throws 9.5 9.5
Shooting ND MIA
Field Goals Made 24.0 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 59.9
Field Goal % 40.6% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 13.2 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 27.4 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 31.7 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 9.5 9.5
Free Throws Attempted 12.9 13.2
Free Throw % 73.7% 71.6%
Ball Control ND MIA
Rebounds 36.9 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 9.0
Turnovers 11.3 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.5
Steals 5.9 6.5
Fouls 12.1 10.7

Playing Style Advantage: Notre Dame

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ND MIA
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 68.1
% of Possessions with ND MIA
2 Point Attempt 34.2% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 39.7% 31.2%
Player Fouled 15.6% 17.7%
Turnover 16.5% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken ND MIA
Shot Blocked 6.0% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 25.3%