NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KENN JAC
Points 77.9 77.3
Total Points   155.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.7 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 25.0 21.4
Points From Free Throws 17.2 20.3
Shooting KENN JAC
Field Goals Made 26.2 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 56.6
Field Goal % 46.1% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 56.3% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 25.2 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 17.2 20.3
Free Throws Attempted 25.6 29.1
Free Throw % 67.1% 69.8%
Ball Control KENN JAC
Rebounds 33.3 38.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 13.1
Turnovers 11.3 12.4
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.1
Steals 6.6 6.9
Fouls 18.5 19.7

Playing Style Advantage: Jacksonville

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KENN JAC
Total Possessions 74.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.5 74.8
% of Possessions with KENN JAC
2 Point Attempt 37.3% 41.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 22.1%
Player Fouled 26.6% 24.9%
Turnover 15.2% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken KENN JAC
Shot Blocked 5.5% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 35.7%