NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIB GRC
Points 65.0 75.6
Total Points   140.7
Points From 2-Pointers 29.2 39.9
Points From 3-Pointers 25.8 18.1
Points From Free Throws 10.0 17.6
Shooting LIB GRC
Field Goals Made 23.2 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 54.1
Field Goal % 40.3% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.6 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.7 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 44.6% 56.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 10.0 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 23.2
Free Throw % 64.5% 76.0%
Ball Control LIB GRC
Rebounds 29.9 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 22.4 29.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 8.9
Turnovers 11.2 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.0 5.5
Steals 4.2 6.4
Fouls 16.9 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Liberty

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIB GRC
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 66.1 68.5
% of Possessions with LIB GRC
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.2% 23.5%
Player Fouled 21.8% 24.2%
Turnover 16.0% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIB GRC
Shot Blocked 10.3% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 28.3%