NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIB LIP
Points 79.1 78.5
Total Points   157.6
Points From 2-Pointers 39.2 45.7
Points From 3-Pointers 32.4 22.8
Points From Free Throws 7.4 10.0
Shooting LIB LIP
Field Goals Made 30.4 30.5
Field Goals Attempted 61.0 57.6
Field Goal % 49.9% 52.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 22.9
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 59.7% 61.5%
3 Pointers Made 10.8 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 28.1 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 7.4 10.0
Free Throws Attempted 11.5 13.0
Free Throw % 64.5% 77.5%
Ball Control LIB LIP
Rebounds 31.1 30.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 4.9
Turnovers 9.3 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.3
Steals 3.9 4.8
Fouls 12.9 11.5

Playing Style Advantage: Liberty

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIB LIP
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 65.1
% of Possessions with LIB LIP
2 Point Attempt 42.0% 49.2%
3 Point Attempt 35.9% 27.1%
Player Fouled 16.6% 18.6%
Turnover 13.3% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIB LIP
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 17.2%