NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UIC BRAD
Points 63.1 73.1
Total Points   136.2
Points From 2-Pointers 26.3 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 25.0 22.1
Points From Free Throws 11.8 13.8
Shooting UIC BRAD
Field Goals Made 21.5 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 56.6
Field Goal % 38.0% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 13.2 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.0 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 39.9% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 11.8 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 18.6
Free Throw % 68.8% 74.3%
Ball Control UIC BRAD
Rebounds 32.8 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 29.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 8.9
Turnovers 12.3 11.3
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.8
Steals 6.0 6.9
Fouls 14.6 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Bradley

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UIC BRAD
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.6 68.1
% of Possessions with UIC BRAD
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 25.9%
Player Fouled 18.3% 20.7%
Turnover 17.5% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UIC BRAD
Shot Blocked 8.6% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 26.6%