ATS Situational Trends

Record LIB adv MSST
Season 12-17-0 17-17-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 4-13-0 9-11-1
Streak L4 L1
Last 5 1-4-0 3-2-0
Last 10 3-7-0 5-5-0
Home 7-5-0 6-8-1
Away 5-12-0 11-9-0

Liberty Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home Mid-Atlantic Christian -- W by 60 --
11/10 Neutral Charlotte -4.5 W by 12 +7.5
11/16 Neutral Furman -2.0 W by 14 +12.0
11/17 Neutral Wichita St -4.0 W by 17 +13.0
11/19 Neutral Vermont -5.0 W by 10 +5.0
11/25 Home Maryland ES -25.0 W by 37 +12.0
11/30 Away Fla Atlantic +7.5 L by 25 -17.5
12/01 Neutral Col Charlestn -4.5 L by 9 -13.5
12/05 Home Miss Val St -30.5 W by 35 +4.5
12/09 Home Grd Canyon -4.5 L by 5 -9.5
12/13 Home TN State -15.0 W by 22 +7.0
12/16 Home St. Andrews Presbyterian -- W by 73 --
12/20 Away Utah Valley -3.5 W by 16 +12.5
12/30 Neutral Alabama +9.5 L by 45 -35.5
01/01 Home Boyce -- W by 42 --
01/06 Away W Kentucky -3.5 L by 2 -5.5
01/10 Home Jksnville St -11.0 L by 10 -21.0
01/14 Away LA Tech +2.5 L by 4 -1.5
01/18 Home Florida Intl -13.5 W by 9 -4.5
01/20 Home Sam Hous St -10.0 W by 16 +6.0
01/27 Away Jksnville St -5.5 L by 11 -16.5
02/01 Away N Mex State -5.0 L by 6 -11.0
02/03 Away TX El Paso -3.0 W by 2 -1.0
02/08 Home Middle Tenn -11.0 W by 35 +24.0
02/10 Home LA Tech -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
02/17 Away Sam Hous St -4.5 L by 10 -14.5
02/22 Away Florida Intl -7.5 L by 5 -12.5
02/29 Home N Mex State -14.5 W by 25 +10.5
03/02 Home TX El Paso -9.0 L by 16 -25.0
03/05 Away Middle Tenn -5.0 L by 8 -13.0
03/09 Home W Kentucky -6.5 W by 3 -3.5
03/14 Neutral TX El Paso -3.5 L by 9 -12.5

Miss State Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/08 Neutral Arizona St -4.0 W by 15 +11.0
11/11 Home TN Martin -21.5 W by 24 +2.5
11/14 Home N Alabama -18.0 W by 27 +9.0
11/18 Neutral Wash State -7.5 W by 12 +4.5
11/19 Neutral Northwestern -3.5 W by 9 +5.5
11/24 Home Nicholls -23.0 W by 13 -10.0
11/28 Away GA Tech -8.5 L by 8 -16.5
12/03 Home Southern -26.0 L by 1 -27.0
12/09 Neutral Tulane -6.5 W by 30 +23.5
12/13 Home Murray St -16.0 W by 4 -12.0
12/17 Neutral North Texas -6.5 W by 18 +11.5
12/23 Neutral Rutgers -3.0 W by 10 +7.0
12/31 Home Beth-Cook -30.5 W by 23 -7.5
01/06 Away S Carolina -3.0 L by 6 -9.0
01/10 Home Tennessee +2.0 W by 5 +7.0
01/13 Home Alabama -1.0 L by 8 -9.0
01/17 Away Kentucky +6.5 L by 13 -6.5
01/20 Home Vanderbilt -13.0 W by 13 0.0
01/24 Away Florida +4.5 L by 9 -4.5
01/27 Home Auburn +3.0 W by 6 +9.0
01/30 Away Mississippi +1.0 L by 4 -3.0
02/03 Away Alabama +8.5 L by 32 -23.5
02/07 Home Georgia -9.0 W by 13 +4.0
02/10 Away Missouri -7.5 W by 24 +16.5
02/17 Home Arkansas -11.0 W by 4 -7.0
02/21 Home Mississippi -6.5 W by 12 +5.5
02/24 Away LSU -3.5 W by 20 +16.5
02/27 Home Kentucky -4.5 L by 2 -6.5
03/02 Away Auburn +10.5 L by 15 -4.5
03/06 Away Texas A&M +3.0 L by 6 -3.0
03/09 Home S Carolina -5.5 L by 4 -9.5
03/14 Neutral LSU -5.0 W by 10 +5.0
03/15 Neutral Tennessee +9.5 W by 17 +26.5
03/16 Neutral Auburn +8.0 L by 7 +1.0
03/21 Neutral Michigan St +1.5 L by 18 -16.5
MSST -4.5 Open -7.0 High -7.0
Last -5.5 Low -4.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2848 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Mississippi State won the game 1890 times (66.4%).
  • The team like Liberty won the game 958 times (33.6%).
  • The team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 1437-1360-51 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 17 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 10-7 (58.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 3.2 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -4.5 -- -4.5
Open -5.0 -- -5.0
History
11/26 05:50 PM -4.5 -- --
11/26 05:25 PM -4.5 -- --
11/26 04:02 PM -4.5 -- --
11/26 01:08 PM -4.5 -- --
11/26 12:17 PM -4.5 -- --
11/26 11:45 AM -- -- -4.5
11/26 11:44 AM -4.5 -- --
11/26 10:50 AM -5.0 -- --
11/26 09:47 AM -5.0 -- --
11/26 09:35 AM -- -- -5.0