NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UIC DRKE
Points 61.6 72.1
Total Points   133.7
Points From 2-Pointers 31.5 38.7
Points From 3-Pointers 16.1 18.1
Points From Free Throws 13.9 15.3
Shooting UIC DRKE
Field Goals Made 21.1 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 47.4 52.5
Field Goal % 44.6% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 29.6 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 17.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 13.9 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 21.6
Free Throw % 71.1% 70.6%
Ball Control UIC DRKE
Rebounds 27.1 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 20.4 22.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 10.5
Turnovers 12.6 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.0
Steals 4.5 8.4
Fouls 15.8 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Drake

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UIC DRKE
Total Possessions 65.2
Effective Scoring Chances 59.4 66.2
% of Possessions with UIC DRKE
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 22.5%
Player Fouled 24.3% 24.3%
Turnover 19.3% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 12.9% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UIC DRKE
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 34.0%