NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UIC DRKE
Points 76.2 72.4
Total Points   148.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 28.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 30.4
Points From Free Throws 16.0 13.6
Shooting UIC DRKE
Field Goals Made 26.4 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.5 56.2
Field Goal % 43.6% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 14.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 26.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 29.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 16.0 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 19.9
Free Throw % 73.3% 68.5%
Ball Control UIC DRKE
Rebounds 39.2 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.7 9.8
Turnovers 9.1 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.3
Steals 6.5 4.5
Fouls 15.0 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Drake

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UIC DRKE
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 74.1 68.5
% of Possessions with UIC DRKE
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 33.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 36.5%
Player Fouled 22.4% 21.5%
Turnover 13.0% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UIC DRKE
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 36.7% 27.7%