NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UIC BALL
Points 74.5 68.1
Total Points   142.5
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 30.7
Points From 3-Pointers 27.5 18.1
Points From Free Throws 10.3 19.2
Shooting UIC BALL
Field Goals Made 27.5 21.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.2 53.5
Field Goal % 45.7% 40.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 42.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.8% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 10.3 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 15.0 24.7
Free Throw % 68.8% 77.8%
Ball Control UIC BALL
Rebounds 34.7 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 7.8
Turnovers 10.7 12.1
Blocked Shots 5.5 3.2
Steals 6.4 4.8
Fouls 18.3 12.2

Playing Style Advantage: IL-Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UIC BALL
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 67.7
% of Possessions with UIC BALL
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 21.5%
Player Fouled 16.9% 25.4%
Turnover 14.8% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UIC BALL
Shot Blocked 6.1% 9.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 22.5%