NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UIC DAY
Points 64.6 75.2
Total Points   139.8
Points From 2-Pointers 30.0 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 27.2 23.6
Points From Free Throws 7.3 17.2
Shooting UIC DAY
Field Goals Made 24.1 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 53.8
Field Goal % 40.3% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 32.8 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 45.8% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 27.0 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 7.3 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 10.7 23.0
Free Throw % 68.8% 74.7%
Ball Control UIC DAY
Rebounds 31.3 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 7.5
Turnovers 10.6 9.9
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.9
Steals 5.0 5.6
Fouls 16.2 10.6

Playing Style Advantage: IL-Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UIC DAY
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 65.9 67.0
% of Possessions with UIC DAY
2 Point Attempt 42.0% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 34.6% 26.0%
Player Fouled 15.3% 23.4%
Turnover 15.3% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UIC DAY
Shot Blocked 7.5% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 19.1% 23.5%