NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UIC OAK
Points 72.0 72.9
Total Points   145.0
Points From 2-Pointers 30.9 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 31.2 22.5
Points From Free Throws 10.0 16.5
Shooting UIC OAK
Field Goals Made 25.8 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 59.6
Field Goal % 43.0% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 37.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 44.6%
3 Pointers Made 10.4 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 28.1 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 10.0 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 14.5 21.7
Free Throw % 68.8% 76.4%
Ball Control UIC OAK
Rebounds 35.3 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 10.2
Turnovers 11.1 9.9
Blocked Shots 4.9 3.3
Steals 4.9 6.6
Fouls 15.6 12.2

Playing Style Advantage: IL-Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UIC OAK
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 72.2
% of Possessions with UIC OAK
2 Point Attempt 39.4% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 34.5% 25.8%
Player Fouled 17.0% 21.7%
Turnover 15.4% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UIC OAK
Shot Blocked 5.7% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 27.0%