NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIB STET
Points 76.6 72.1
Total Points   148.7
Points From 2-Pointers 38.3 38.4
Points From 3-Pointers 30.0 21.7
Points From Free Throws 8.3 12.0
Shooting LIB STET
Field Goals Made 29.2 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 54.7
Field Goal % 48.3% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 57.2% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 26.9 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 8.3 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 12.8 16.0
Free Throw % 64.5% 75.1%
Ball Control LIB STET
Rebounds 32.2 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 6.4
Turnovers 7.5 9.1
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.2
Steals 4.2 4.0
Fouls 14.6 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Liberty

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIB STET
Total Possessions 67.3
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 64.5
% of Possessions with LIB STET
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 35.1% 27.9%
Player Fouled 19.8% 21.7%
Turnover 11.2% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIB STET
Shot Blocked 5.9% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 20.8%