NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIB TCU
Points 68.6 79.8
Total Points   148.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.8 48.6
Points From 3-Pointers 25.9 17.0
Points From Free Throws 9.8 14.2
Shooting LIB TCU
Field Goals Made 25.1 30.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 57.9
Field Goal % 44.9% 51.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 24.3
2 Pointers Attempted 30.6 42.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 57.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 25.2 15.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 9.8 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 19.6
Free Throw % 64.5% 72.7%
Ball Control LIB TCU
Rebounds 27.6 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 9.5
Turnovers 12.3 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.5
Steals 4.3 7.0
Fouls 15.1 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Liberty

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIB TCU
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.4 70.1
% of Possessions with LIB TCU
2 Point Attempt 38.9% 52.3%
3 Point Attempt 32.1% 19.1%
Player Fouled 20.9% 21.3%
Turnover 17.4% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIB TCU
Shot Blocked 7.9% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 18.5% 30.8%