NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UIC NIU
Points 76.5 67.3
Total Points   143.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.3 32.8
Points From 3-Pointers 30.0 17.8
Points From Free Throws 13.2 16.7
Shooting UIC NIU
Field Goals Made 26.7 22.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 55.1
Field Goal % 44.0% 40.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 46.7% 45.4%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 25.0 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 40.0% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 13.2 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 24.7
Free Throw % 68.8% 67.4%
Ball Control UIC NIU
Rebounds 36.4 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 9.2
Turnovers 9.9 12.2
Blocked Shots 4.4 5.0
Steals 6.3 4.4
Fouls 18.0 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: N Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UIC NIU
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 71.5 69.9
% of Possessions with UIC NIU
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 22.5%
Player Fouled 18.9% 24.8%
Turnover 13.6% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UIC NIU
Shot Blocked 9.2% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 24.9%