NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIB BELL
Points 76.5 66.7
Total Points   143.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.6 39.6
Points From 3-Pointers 33.7 18.8
Points From Free Throws 10.2 8.3
Shooting LIB BELL
Field Goals Made 27.5 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 57.0
Field Goal % 48.4% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 26.1 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 62.5% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.2 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 30.8 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 10.2 8.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 11.0
Free Throw % 64.5% 75.6%
Ball Control LIB BELL
Rebounds 34.4 30.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 5.0
Turnovers 8.2 9.0
Blocked Shots 1.9 1.9
Steals 3.7 3.9
Fouls 12.0 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Bellarmine

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIB BELL
Total Possessions 67.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 63.5
% of Possessions with LIB BELL
2 Point Attempt 34.6% 51.1%
3 Point Attempt 40.8% 26.7%
Player Fouled 21.6% 17.7%
Turnover 12.1% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIB BELL
Shot Blocked 3.4% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 15.4%