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Liberty at N Florida
Thu Jan 23, 2020
7:00pm ET
Jacksonville, FL
Liberty at N Florida: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Liberty by 6.5, Total Points: 131
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LIB | adv | UNF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-17-0 | 17-12-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-13-0 | 11-6-0 | |
| Streak | L4 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 7-5-0 | 8-6-0 | |
| Away | 5-12-0 | 9-6-1 |
Liberty Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Mid-Atlantic Christian | -- | W by 60 | -- |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Furman | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Wichita St | -4.0 | W by 17 | +13.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Vermont | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Maryland ES | -25.0 | W by 37 | +12.0 |
| 11/30 | Away | Fla Atlantic | +7.5 | L by 25 | -17.5 |
| 12/01 | Neutral | Col Charlestn | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Miss Val St | -30.5 | W by 35 | +4.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Grd Canyon | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | TN State | -15.0 | W by 22 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | St. Andrews Presbyterian | -- | W by 73 | -- |
| 12/20 | Away | Utah Valley | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Alabama | +9.5 | L by 45 | -35.5 |
| 01/01 | Home | Boyce | -- | W by 42 | -- |
| 01/06 | Away | W Kentucky | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Jksnville St | -11.0 | L by 10 | -21.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | LA Tech | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Florida Intl | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Sam Hous St | -10.0 | W by 16 | +6.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Jksnville St | -5.5 | L by 11 | -16.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | N Mex State | -5.0 | L by 6 | -11.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | TX El Paso | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Middle Tenn | -11.0 | W by 35 | +24.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | LA Tech | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Sam Hous St | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Florida Intl | -7.5 | L by 5 | -12.5 |
| 02/29 | Home | N Mex State | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | TX El Paso | -9.0 | L by 16 | -25.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Middle Tenn | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | W Kentucky | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | TX El Paso | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
N Florida Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Coastal Georgia | -- | W by 37 | -- |
| 11/09 | Away | Charl South | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 11/13 | Away | S Car State | -5.0 | L by 10 | -15.0 |
| 11/16 | Home | Presbyterian | -1.0 | L by 12 | -13.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | NW State | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Maine | +4.0 | W by 9 | +13.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | LSU | +22.0 | L by 12 | +10.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Iowa | +26.5 | L by 25 | +1.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | High Point | +4.5 | L by 7 | -2.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Edward Waters | -- | W by 52 | -- |
| 12/09 | Home | GA Southern | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Trinity Baptist | (Pick) | W by 41 | +41.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | Florida St | +16.0 | L by 16 | 0.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | Georgia | +16.5 | L by 18 | -1.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Miami | +19.5 | L by 40 | -20.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | Stetson | +7.5 | L by 1 | +6.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Fla Gulf Cst | +7.0 | W by 20 | +27.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Jacksonville | -5.0 | W by 8 | +3.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Kennesaw St | +3.0 | W by 9 | +12.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Queens | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Bellarmine | -1.0 | W by 8 | +7.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Kentucky | +7.5 | L by 13 | -5.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Lipscomb | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Austin Peay | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | N Alabama | -5.0 | L by 5 | -10.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Central Ark | -11.5 | L by 2 | -13.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Queens | +2.5 | W by 14 | +16.5 |
| 02/16 | Away | Kennesaw St | +4.0 | W by 1 | +5.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Jacksonville | -1.0 | L by 12 | -13.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -3.5 | L by 19 | -22.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Stetson | -2.0 | W by 19 | +17.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Austin Peay | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| LIB -6.5 | Open | -2.5 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -7.0 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1056 games where the closing line favored the away team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Liberty won the game 766 times (72.5%).
- The team like North Florida won the game 290 times (27.5%).
- The team like Liberty did better against the spread, going 528-513-15 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 53 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 4 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like North Florida did better against the spread, going 27-24-2 (52.9% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| Open | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/23 06:44 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 05:43 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 03:30 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 01:01 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 11:36 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 09:00 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
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