NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIB UNF
Points 76.2 72.1
Total Points   148.3
Points From 2-Pointers 41.6 32.5
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 28.9
Points From Free Throws 10.5 10.7
Shooting LIB UNF
Field Goals Made 28.8 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 55.7
Field Goal % 48.6% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.8 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 28.3
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 57.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 27.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 10.5 10.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 13.9
Free Throw % 64.5% 77.2%
Ball Control LIB UNF
Rebounds 33.8 31.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 5.6
Turnovers 8.1 10.2
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.9
Steals 4.9 4.1
Fouls 12.8 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Liberty

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIB UNF
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 64.2
% of Possessions with LIB UNF
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 37.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 36.5%
Player Fouled 21.0% 18.6%
Turnover 11.8% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIB UNF
Shot Blocked 7.0% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 17.8%