NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UIC YSU
Points 71.9 72.7
Total Points   144.7
Points From 2-Pointers 32.3 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 28.2 20.9
Points From Free Throws 11.5 15.9
Shooting UIC YSU
Field Goals Made 25.5 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 61.1 63.4
Field Goal % 41.8% 39.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 40.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.4% 44.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 30.0%
Free Throws Made 11.5 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 21.1
Free Throw % 68.8% 75.3%
Ball Control UIC YSU
Rebounds 36.7 42.0
Rebounds - Defensive 29.0 30.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 11.8
Turnovers 11.1 9.8
Blocked Shots 4.9 5.3
Steals 5.1 5.8
Fouls 15.8 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Youngs St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UIC YSU
Total Possessions 73.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 75.8
% of Possessions with UIC YSU
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 26.5%
Player Fouled 18.6% 21.4%
Turnover 15.1% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UIC YSU
Shot Blocked 8.6% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 28.9%