NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UIC WRST
Points 82.5 80.6
Total Points   163.1
Points From 2-Pointers 39.3 46.2
Points From 3-Pointers 31.8 16.5
Points From Free Throws 11.4 17.9
Shooting UIC WRST
Field Goals Made 30.2 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 61.3 59.3
Field Goal % 49.4% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 23.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 44.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.1% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.6 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 25.6 14.6
3 Point Shooting % 41.3% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 11.4 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 23.7
Free Throw % 68.8% 75.6%
Ball Control UIC WRST
Rebounds 32.7 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 8.4
Turnovers 11.7 11.2
Blocked Shots 4.9 2.6
Steals 6.5 6.2
Fouls 17.2 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: IL-Chicago

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UIC WRST
Total Possessions 75.7
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 73.0
% of Possessions with UIC WRST
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 51.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 17.0%
Player Fouled 17.0% 22.8%
Turnover 15.5% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UIC WRST
Shot Blocked 4.5% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 25.0%