NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UIC ILST
Points 67.8 65.7
Total Points   133.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.9 34.0
Points From 3-Pointers 25.6 15.0
Points From Free Throws 9.2 16.7
Shooting UIC ILST
Field Goals Made 25.0 22.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 53.9
Field Goal % 44.0% 40.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 46.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.9 17.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 28.4%
Free Throws Made 9.2 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 13.4 22.9
Free Throw % 68.8% 73.0%
Ball Control UIC ILST
Rebounds 32.9 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 9.2
Turnovers 10.5 10.4
Blocked Shots 5.2 2.5
Steals 4.7 5.3
Fouls 17.0 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: Illinois St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UIC ILST
Total Possessions 68.4
Effective Scoring Chances 65.0 67.1
% of Possessions with UIC ILST
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 32.5% 22.0%
Player Fouled 18.5% 24.9%
Turnover 15.4% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UIC ILST
Shot Blocked 4.8% 9.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 26.3%