NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UIC SIU
Points 67.9 70.7
Total Points   138.6
Points From 2-Pointers 38.1 31.9
Points From 3-Pointers 17.5 20.6
Points From Free Throws 12.2 18.2
Shooting UIC SIU
Field Goals Made 24.9 22.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 53.9
Field Goal % 45.0% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 33.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 17.6 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 12.2 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 23.5
Free Throw % 68.8% 77.2%
Ball Control UIC SIU
Rebounds 32.3 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 7.8
Turnovers 10.9 10.9
Blocked Shots 6.1 3.5
Steals 5.3 5.3
Fouls 17.3 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: S Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UIC SIU
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 65.8 67.0
% of Possessions with UIC SIU
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 41.0%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 26.0%
Player Fouled 21.5% 24.7%
Turnover 15.5% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken UIC SIU
Shot Blocked 6.6% 11.2%
Offensive Rebound 19.8% 23.3%