NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UIC DETU
Points 78.9 63.9
Total Points   142.8
Points From 2-Pointers 38.5 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 28.9 14.5
Points From Free Throws 11.5 15.0
Shooting UIC DETU
Field Goals Made 28.9 22.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 55.3
Field Goal % 49.9% 39.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 57.2% 45.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 4.8
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 39.7% 27.2%
Free Throws Made 11.5 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 20.2
Free Throw % 68.8% 74.1%
Ball Control UIC DETU
Rebounds 36.5 31.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 7.9
Turnovers 11.8 12.5
Blocked Shots 4.9 2.5
Steals 5.4 6.9
Fouls 15.9 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UIC DETU
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 67.1
% of Possessions with UIC DETU
2 Point Attempt 41.4% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 21.8%
Player Fouled 19.5% 22.2%
Turnover 16.5% 17.4%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UIC DETU
Shot Blocked 4.6% 8.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 22.0%