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Dayton vs. Belmont
Sun Nov 28, 2021
4:00pm ET
Kissimmee, FL
(Neutral Site)
Dayton vs. Belmont: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Belmont by 3, Total Points: 145.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DAY | adv | BEL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-16-1 | 16-16-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-10-0 | 13-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 6-9-0 | 8-5-0 | |
| Away | 10-7-1 | 8-11-0 |
Dayton Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | SIU Edward | -17.5 | W by 16 | -1.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Northwestern | +5.0 | L by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | LSU | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | St Johns | -1.0 | W by 7 | +6.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Houston | +12.5 | L by 14 | -1.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Youngs St | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | S Methodist | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Grambling St | -21.5 | W by 30 | +8.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Troy | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Cincinnati | +5.5 | W by 14 | +19.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Oakland | -12.0 | W by 24 | +12.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Longwood | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Davidson | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | U Mass | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Duquesne | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Saint Louis | -13.0 | W by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Rhode Island | -12.5 | W by 34 | +21.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | La Salle | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Richmond | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Geo Wshgtn | -12.5 | W by 22 | +9.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | St Bonavent | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | St Josephs | -2.0 | W by 15 | +13.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | VCU | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Duquesne | -8.0 | W by 16 | +8.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Fordham | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Geo Mason | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Davidson | -10.5 | W by 14 | +3.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Loyola-Chi | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Saint Louis | -9.5 | W by 17 | +7.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | VCU | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Duquesne | -7.0 | L by 8 | -15.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Nevada | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Arizona | +8.5 | L by 10 | -1.5 |
Belmont Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Georgia St | -7.0 | W by 2 | -5.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Furman | +6.5 | L by 23 | -16.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Berry College | -- | W by 34 | -- |
| 11/17 | Away | Arizona | +24.5 | L by 32 | -7.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Monmouth | -6.5 | L by 9 | -15.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | U Penn | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Lafayette | -8.0 | W by 10 | +2.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | N Iowa | +8.0 | W by 20 | +28.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Valparaiso | -15.5 | W by 9 | -6.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Lipscomb | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | Middle Tenn | +2.0 | W by 10 | +12.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Samford | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Arkansas St | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | S Illinois | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Drake | +5.5 | W by 22 | +27.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Illinois St | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Indiana St | +11.5 | L by 30 | -18.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | N Iowa | +2.0 | L by 11 | -9.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Bradley | +11.0 | L by 23 | -12.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Illinois St | +1.5 | L by 10 | -8.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | IL-Chicago | -5.5 | W by 9 | +3.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Indiana St | +8.5 | L by 6 | +2.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Missouri St | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Murray St | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Valparaiso | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | S Illinois | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | IL-Chicago | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Drake | +9.5 | L by 15 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Missouri St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Murray St | +3.0 | W by 22 | +25.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Evansville | -11.0 | W by 17 | +6.0 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Valparaiso | -14.0 | W by 25 | +11.0 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | N Iowa | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| BEL -3.0 | Open | -4.5 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2977 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Belmont won the game 1782 times (59.9%).
- The team like Dayton won the game 1195 times (40.1%).
- The team like Belmont did better against the spread, going 1458-1444-75 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1577 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Dayton did better against the spread, going 825-728-24 (53.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -3.0 | -3.0 |
| Open | -3.5 | -4.5 | -3.5 |
| History | |||
| 11/28 03:58 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 03:55 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/28 03:45 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 11/28 03:04 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 02:55 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 02:05 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/28 01:46 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 01:38 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 12:52 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 12:49 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 12:13 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 12:05 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/28 11:05 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 11/28 10:15 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 11/28 09:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/28 09:46 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 11/28 09:28 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 09:02 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 08:25 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 08:25 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 11/28 08:07 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 06:40 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 04:24 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/28 01:34 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 12:15 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 11/27 10:05 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 11/27 09:46 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 09:14 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/27 08:52 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 07:54 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/27 07:43 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 04:04 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
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