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Dayton vs. St Marys
Sun Dec 8, 2019
4:00pm ET
Phoenix, AZ
(Neutral Site)
Dayton vs. St Marys: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Dayton by 3.5, Total Points: 135
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DAY | adv | SMC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-16-1 | 18-15-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-10-0 | 12-6-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 6-9-0 | 9-8-0 | |
| Away | 10-7-1 | 9-7-0 |
Dayton Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | SIU Edward | -17.5 | W by 16 | -1.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Northwestern | +5.0 | L by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | LSU | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | St Johns | -1.0 | W by 7 | +6.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Houston | +12.5 | L by 14 | -1.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Youngs St | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | S Methodist | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Grambling St | -21.5 | W by 30 | +8.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Troy | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Cincinnati | +5.5 | W by 14 | +19.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Oakland | -12.0 | W by 24 | +12.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Longwood | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Davidson | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | U Mass | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Duquesne | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Saint Louis | -13.0 | W by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Rhode Island | -12.5 | W by 34 | +21.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | La Salle | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Richmond | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Geo Wshgtn | -12.5 | W by 22 | +9.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | St Bonavent | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | St Josephs | -2.0 | W by 15 | +13.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | VCU | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Duquesne | -8.0 | W by 16 | +8.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Fordham | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Geo Mason | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Davidson | -10.5 | W by 14 | +3.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Loyola-Chi | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Saint Louis | -9.5 | W by 17 | +7.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | VCU | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Duquesne | -7.0 | L by 8 | -15.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Nevada | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Arizona | +8.5 | L by 10 | -1.5 |
St Marys Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | CSU Stanislaus | -- | W by 79 | -- |
| 11/09 | Home | New Mexico | -7.0 | W by 14 | +7.0 |
| 11/12 | Home | Weber St | -16.5 | L by 4 | -20.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | San Diego St | -2.0 | L by 25 | -27.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Xavier | -6.0 | L by 17 | -23.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Davidson | -11.0 | W by 34 | +23.0 |
| 11/27 | Home | Utah | -4.5 | L by 7 | -11.5 |
| 12/01 | Neutral | Boise St | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Cleveland St | -16.0 | W by 13 | -3.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | Colorado St | +4.0 | W by 3 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | UNLV | -6.5 | W by 2 | -4.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Middle Tenn | -15.0 | W by 37 | +22.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | N Kentucky | -15.5 | W by 36 | +20.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | Missouri St | -13.5 | L by 5 | -18.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Kent St | -10.5 | W by 20 | +9.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | San Diego | -13.5 | W by 11 | -2.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Loyola Mymt | -8.5 | W by 4 | -4.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Portland | -19.0 | W by 43 | +24.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Santa Clara | -6.5 | W by 24 | +17.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | San Francisco | +1.0 | W by 17 | +18.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | Pacific | -27.0 | W by 48 | +21.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Loyola Mymt | -16.5 | W by 5 | -11.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Santa Clara | -14.0 | W by 5 | -9.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Gonzaga | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Pacific | -20.0 | W by 41 | +21.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Portland | -18.5 | W by 25 | +6.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Pepperdine | -19.0 | W by 44 | +25.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | San Francisco | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | San Diego | -23.5 | W by 26 | +2.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Pepperdine | -15.5 | W by 26 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Gonzaga | -3.5 | L by 13 | -16.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | Santa Clara | -11.0 | W by 14 | +3.0 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Gonzaga | +3.5 | W by 9 | +12.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Grd Canyon | -6.0 | L by 9 | -15.0 |
| DAY -3.5 | Open | -3.5 | High | -3.5 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1657 games where the closing line favored the away team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Dayton won the game 996 times (60.1%).
- The team like St. Mary's won the game 661 times (39.9%).
- The team like St. Mary's did better against the spread, going 827-802-28 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2843 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like St. Mary's did better against the spread, going 1397-1391-55 (50.1% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.5 | -3.5 |
| Open | -3.0 | -3.0 | -3.5 |
| History | |||
| 12/08 04:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/08 03:59 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 03:55 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 12/08 03:18 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 02:35 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 01:51 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 12:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/08 12:49 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 12:45 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 12/08 12:39 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 12:35 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 12/08 12:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/08 12:09 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 12:05 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 12/08 11:34 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/08 11:26 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 11:25 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 12/08 10:18 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 07:46 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 07:34 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/08 05:26 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 03:28 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 01:35 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 12/08 01:19 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 06:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/07 06:15 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
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