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Dayton vs. Miami
Thu Nov 25, 2021
12:00pm ET
Kissimmee, FL
(Neutral Site)
Dayton vs. Miami: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Miami by 6, Total Points: 134.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DAY | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-16-1 | 14-16-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-10-0 | 7-12-2 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 6-9-0 | 8-8-1 | |
| Away | 10-7-1 | 6-8-1 |
Dayton Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | SIU Edward | -17.5 | W by 16 | -1.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Northwestern | +5.0 | L by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | LSU | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | St Johns | -1.0 | W by 7 | +6.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Houston | +12.5 | L by 14 | -1.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Youngs St | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | S Methodist | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Grambling St | -21.5 | W by 30 | +8.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Troy | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Cincinnati | +5.5 | W by 14 | +19.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Oakland | -12.0 | W by 24 | +12.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Longwood | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Davidson | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | U Mass | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Duquesne | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Saint Louis | -13.0 | W by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Rhode Island | -12.5 | W by 34 | +21.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | La Salle | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Richmond | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Geo Wshgtn | -12.5 | W by 22 | +9.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | St Bonavent | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | St Josephs | -2.0 | W by 15 | +13.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | VCU | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Duquesne | -8.0 | W by 16 | +8.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Fordham | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Geo Mason | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Davidson | -10.5 | W by 14 | +3.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Loyola-Chi | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Saint Louis | -9.5 | W by 17 | +7.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | VCU | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Duquesne | -7.0 | L by 8 | -15.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Nevada | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Arizona | +8.5 | L by 10 | -1.5 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | NJIT | -24.5 | W by 41 | +16.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | UCF | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Florida Intl | -23.0 | W by 6 | -17.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Georgia | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Kansas St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Kentucky | +6.0 | L by 22 | -16.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Notre Dame | -14.5 | W by 13 | -1.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | LIU | -30.0 | W by 48 | +18.0 |
| 12/10 | Neutral | Colorado | -1.5 | L by 27 | -28.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | La Salle | -15.5 | W by 7 | -8.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Stonehill | -29.5 | W by 38 | +8.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | N Florida | -19.5 | W by 40 | +20.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Clemson | +1.5 | W by 13 | +14.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Wake Forest | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Louisville | -16.5 | L by 9 | -25.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | VA Tech | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Florida St | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Syracuse | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Notre Dame | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Pittsburgh | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | NC State | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | VA Tech | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 02/05 | Away | Virginia | +5.5 | L by 22 | -16.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | N Carolina | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Clemson | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Boston Col | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Duke | +7.0 | L by 29 | -22.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | GA Tech | -9.0 | L by 4 | -13.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | N Carolina | +14.0 | L by 4 | +10.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Boston Col | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Florida St | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Boston Col | -3.0 | L by 16 | -19.0 |
| MIA -6.0 | Open | -4.5 | High | -6.0 |
| Last | -5.5 | Low | -4.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2788 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5 to 7 points. In these games:
- The team like Miami won the game 1977 times (70.9%).
- The team like Dayton won the game 811 times (29.1%).
- The team like Miami did better against the spread, going 1375-1340-73 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1560 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Miami did better against the spread, going 816-721-23 (53.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.0 | -6.0 | -5.5 |
| Open | -5.5 | -5.5 | -5.5 |
| History | |||
| 11/25 11:55 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 11:54 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 11/25 11:35 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 11/25 11:34 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 11:16 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 10:52 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 10:37 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 10:05 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 11/25 09:49 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 09:35 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 11/25 09:25 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 09:04 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 11/25 08:55 AM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 11/25 08:52 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 08:31 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 08:19 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 07:46 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 07:34 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 05:24 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 11/25 05:16 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 04:34 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 11/25 02:46 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 11:45 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 11/24 08:49 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 04:54 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 11/24 04:41 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
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