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Dayton at S Methodist
Wed Dec 8, 2021
8:00pm ET
Dallas, TX
Dayton at S Methodist: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Southern Methodist by 4.5, Total Points: 136
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DAY | adv | SMU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-16-1 | 14-17-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-10-0 | 7-11-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L7 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 0-5-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 6-9-0 | 6-9-1 | |
| Away | 10-7-1 | 8-8-0 |
Dayton Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | SIU Edward | -17.5 | W by 16 | -1.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Northwestern | +5.0 | L by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | LSU | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | St Johns | -1.0 | W by 7 | +6.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Houston | +12.5 | L by 14 | -1.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Youngs St | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | S Methodist | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Grambling St | -21.5 | W by 30 | +8.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Troy | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Cincinnati | +5.5 | W by 14 | +19.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Oakland | -12.0 | W by 24 | +12.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Longwood | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Davidson | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | U Mass | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Duquesne | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Saint Louis | -13.0 | W by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Rhode Island | -12.5 | W by 34 | +21.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | La Salle | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Richmond | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Geo Wshgtn | -12.5 | W by 22 | +9.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | St Bonavent | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | St Josephs | -2.0 | W by 15 | +13.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | VCU | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Duquesne | -8.0 | W by 16 | +8.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Fordham | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Geo Mason | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Davidson | -10.5 | W by 14 | +3.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Loyola-Chi | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Saint Louis | -9.5 | W by 17 | +7.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | VCU | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Duquesne | -7.0 | L by 8 | -15.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Nevada | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Arizona | +8.5 | L by 10 | -1.5 |
S Methodist Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Southwestern Assemblies of God | -- | W by 19 | -- |
| 11/08 | Home | W Illinois | -17.5 | W by 37 | +19.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Lamar | -19.5 | W by 11 | -8.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Texas A&M | +5.5 | L by 13 | -7.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | W Virginia | -4.0 | W by 12 | +8.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Wisconsin | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | UL Monroe | -16.5 | W by 13 | -3.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Dayton | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -16.5 | W by 43 | +26.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Arizona St | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Florida St | +4.5 | W by 11 | +15.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Hsn Christian | -27.0 | W by 36 | +9.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | Murray St | -5.5 | W by 27 | +21.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Charlotte | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Memphis | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | E Carolina | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Temple | -13.0 | W by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Tulsa | -13.0 | W by 33 | +20.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | North Texas | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Wichita St | -6.0 | L by 5 | -11.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | Tulane | -8.5 | W by 4 | -4.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | UAB | -7.0 | W by 3 | -4.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Rice | -6.5 | W by 26 | +19.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | North Texas | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Tulane | -1.5 | W by 8 | +6.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Memphis | -5.5 | W by 27 | +21.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Fla Atlantic | +6.5 | L by 10 | -3.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | S Florida | -2.5 | L by 11 | -13.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | UTSA | -17.0 | L by 4 | -21.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | E Carolina | -12.0 | W by 3 | -9.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | UAB | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Temple | -12.0 | L by 15 | -27.0 |
| 03/20 | Away | Indiana St | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| SMU -4.5 | Open | -5.5 | High | -5.5 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -4.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3042 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Southern Methodist won the game 2010 times (66.1%).
- The team like Dayton won the game 1032 times (33.9%).
- The team like Southern Methodist did better against the spread, going 1517-1474-51 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2924 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Dayton did better against the spread, going 1450-1417-57 (50.6% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.0 | -4.0 |
| History | |||
| 12/08 07:58 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 07:20 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 06:37 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 05:34 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 04:44 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 12/08 04:35 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 12/08 04:14 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/08 03:02 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 02:41 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 01:54 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/08 11:37 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 11:35 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 12/08 11:14 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/08 10:04 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/08 09:59 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 08:35 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 12/08 08:34 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 07:40 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 07:25 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 12/08 07:04 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 05:56 AM | -4.0 | -- | -4.0 |
| 12/07 05:54 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/07 05:44 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
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