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Dayton at VCU
Sat Jan 23, 2021
4:30pm ET
Richmond, VA
Dayton at VCU: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: VCU by 6.5, Total Points: 135.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DAY | adv | VCU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-16-1 | 22-14-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-10-0 | 14-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 6-9-0 | 9-9-1 | |
| Away | 10-7-1 | 13-5-1 |
Dayton Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | SIU Edward | -17.5 | W by 16 | -1.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Northwestern | +5.0 | L by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | LSU | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | St Johns | -1.0 | W by 7 | +6.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Houston | +12.5 | L by 14 | -1.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Youngs St | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | S Methodist | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Grambling St | -21.5 | W by 30 | +8.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Troy | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Cincinnati | +5.5 | W by 14 | +19.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Oakland | -12.0 | W by 24 | +12.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Longwood | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Davidson | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | U Mass | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Duquesne | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Saint Louis | -13.0 | W by 5 | -8.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Rhode Island | -12.5 | W by 34 | +21.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | La Salle | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Richmond | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Geo Wshgtn | -12.5 | W by 22 | +9.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | St Bonavent | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | St Josephs | -2.0 | W by 15 | +13.0 |
| 02/09 | Away | VCU | -2.0 | L by 2 | -4.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Duquesne | -8.0 | W by 16 | +8.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Fordham | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Geo Mason | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Davidson | -10.5 | W by 14 | +3.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Loyola-Chi | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Saint Louis | -9.5 | W by 17 | +7.5 |
| 03/08 | Home | VCU | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Duquesne | -7.0 | L by 8 | -15.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Nevada | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Arizona | +8.5 | L by 10 | -1.5 |
VCU Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | McNeese St | -10.5 | L by 11 | -21.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Samford | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Radford | -3.5 | W by 23 | +19.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Seattle | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Iowa St | +11.5 | L by 4 | +7.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Boise St | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Penn St | +2.5 | W by 12 | +14.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | Norfolk St | -12.5 | L by 3 | -15.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Memphis | +3.0 | L by 5 | -2.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Alcorn St | -16.5 | W by 28 | +11.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Temple | -9.0 | W by 9 | 0.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Maryland ES | -24.5 | W by 24 | -0.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Gard-Webb | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | St Bonavent | -5.0 | L by 11 | -16.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Geo Wshgtn | -11.5 | L by 2 | -13.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Geo Mason | +4.0 | W by 4 | +8.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | La Salle | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | Saint Louis | -8.5 | W by 24 | +15.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Loyola-Chi | -4.5 | W by 7 | +2.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Davidson | -1.5 | W by 5 | +3.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | St Bonavent | +4.5 | L by 5 | -0.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Richmond | -5.0 | W by 11 | +6.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Fordham | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 02/09 | Home | Dayton | +2.0 | W by 2 | +4.0 |
| 02/16 | Away | Saint Louis | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | U Mass | +2.5 | L by 22 | -19.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | St Josephs | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Rhode Island | -13.5 | W by 21 | +7.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Richmond | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Duquesne | -5.0 | L by 10 | -15.0 |
| 03/08 | Away | Dayton | +8.0 | L by 5 | +3.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Fordham | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | U Mass | -1.0 | W by 14 | +13.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | St Josephs | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Duquesne | -1.5 | L by 6 | -7.5 |
| 03/20 | Away | Villanova | +8.5 | W by 9 | +17.5 |
| 03/24 | Away | S Florida | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 03/27 | Away | Utah | +8.5 | L by 20 | -11.5 |
| VCU -6.5 | Open | -3.5 | High | -6.5 |
| Last | -6.0 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2850 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like VCU won the game 2085 times (73.2%).
- The team like Dayton won the game 765 times (26.8%).
- The team like VCU did better against the spread, going 1429-1374-47 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 32 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like VCU did better against the spread, going 21-11 (65.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 4.9 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.5 | -6.5 | -6.5 |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/23 04:29 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 04:20 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 03:44 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 01/23 03:35 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 01/23 03:20 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 02:24 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 01/23 02:05 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 02:05 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 01/23 01:20 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 12:32 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 11:05 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 10:32 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 10:04 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 01/23 09:56 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 01/23 09:05 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 01/23 08:47 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 08:02 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 05:38 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 03:56 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/23 12:14 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/23 12:02 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 11:25 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 01/22 10:05 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/22 09:44 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/22 09:15 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/22 08:34 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/22 05:38 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 05:34 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/22 05:20 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
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