NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PROV CREI
Points 68.0 75.1
Total Points   143.1
Points From 2-Pointers 40.3 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 27.9
Points From Free Throws 7.9 11.7
Shooting PROV CREI
Field Goals Made 26.7 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 66.0 59.9
Field Goal % 40.5% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 44.6 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 30.9% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 7.9 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 10.6 14.6
Free Throw % 74.5% 80.2%
Ball Control PROV CREI
Rebounds 35.4 39.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 31.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 7.3
Turnovers 7.6 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.1
Steals 5.5 3.8
Fouls 13.4 10.7

Playing Style Advantage: Providence

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PROV CREI
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 68.5
% of Possessions with PROV CREI
2 Point Attempt 55.1% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 32.0%
Player Fouled 15.1% 18.9%
Turnover 10.6% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken PROV CREI
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 21.4%