NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PROV CREI
Points 68.5 75.5
Total Points   144.0
Points From 2-Pointers 39.9 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.4 28.2
Points From Free Throws 8.2 11.8
Shooting PROV CREI
Field Goals Made 26.8 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 65.8 59.9
Field Goal % 40.7% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 44.2 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 45.2% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 25.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 8.2 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 11.0 14.6
Free Throw % 74.5% 80.8%
Ball Control PROV CREI
Rebounds 35.3 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 31.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 7.3
Turnovers 7.5 9.8
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.0
Steals 5.4 3.7
Fouls 13.4 10.9

Playing Style Advantage: Providence

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PROV CREI
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 68.5
% of Possessions with PROV CREI
2 Point Attempt 54.7% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 31.7%
Player Fouled 15.4% 18.9%
Turnover 10.5% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken PROV CREI
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 21.4%