NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PROV HALL
Points 69.0 67.8
Total Points   136.8
Points From 2-Pointers 29.6 36.2
Points From 3-Pointers 27.6 17.4
Points From Free Throws 11.8 14.2
Shooting PROV HALL
Field Goals Made 24.0 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 59.4
Field Goal % 41.4% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 28.8 42.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 43.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 29.2 17.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 11.8 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 17.7
Free Throw % 74.5% 80.5%
Ball Control PROV HALL
Rebounds 34.9 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 11.0
Turnovers 11.7 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.0
Steals 6.6 7.2
Fouls 14.1 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Providence

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PROV HALL
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 70.0
% of Possessions with PROV HALL
2 Point Attempt 35.6% 50.5%
3 Point Attempt 36.0% 20.8%
Player Fouled 20.4% 20.1%
Turnover 16.7% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PROV HALL
Shot Blocked 6.9% 8.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 29.8%