NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PROV URI
Points 80.2 64.4
Total Points   144.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 33.3
Points From 3-Pointers 28.4 17.8
Points From Free Throws 15.1 13.3
Shooting PROV URI
Field Goals Made 27.8 22.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 56.5
Field Goal % 47.1% 40.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 31.2 39.1
2 Point Shooting % 58.7% 42.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 27.8 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 15.1 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 20.1
Free Throw % 74.5% 66.1%
Ball Control PROV URI
Rebounds 37.7 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 8.7
Turnovers 8.6 11.5
Blocked Shots 6.0 2.1
Steals 6.2 4.6
Fouls 15.4 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Rhode Island

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PROV URI
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 67.9
% of Possessions with PROV URI
2 Point Attempt 38.6% 47.8%
3 Point Attempt 34.4% 21.2%
Player Fouled 23.2% 21.8%
Turnover 12.1% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken PROV URI
Shot Blocked 3.9% 10.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 23.4%