NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IONA QUIN
Points 71.7 74.8
Total Points   146.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.3 38.2
Points From 3-Pointers 26.2 21.9
Points From Free Throws 11.1 14.7
Shooting IONA QUIN
Field Goals Made 25.9 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 61.5 55.7
Field Goal % 42.1% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 11.1 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 19.2
Free Throw % 66.3% 76.5%
Ball Control IONA QUIN
Rebounds 31.6 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 21.5 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 10.2
Turnovers 9.4 13.3
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.3
Steals 7.8 5.6
Fouls 14.3 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Quinnipiac

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IONA QUIN
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.8 67.9
% of Possessions with IONA QUIN
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 25.5%
Player Fouled 18.8% 20.2%
Turnover 13.3% 18.8%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 10.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken IONA QUIN
Shot Blocked 6.0% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 32.2%