NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IONA SCU
Points 66.5 76.3
Total Points   142.8
Points From 2-Pointers 32.0 38.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 22.5
Points From Free Throws 12.6 15.0
Shooting IONA SCU
Field Goals Made 23.3 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 52.6
Field Goal % 38.6% 51.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 36.1 31.0
2 Point Shooting % 44.4% 62.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 12.6 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 21.5
Free Throw % 66.3% 69.6%
Ball Control IONA SCU
Rebounds 28.0 42.1
Rebounds - Defensive 19.0 31.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 10.5
Turnovers 7.8 14.2
Blocked Shots 2.2 2.9
Steals 7.9 3.8
Fouls 17.3 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Iona

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IONA SCU
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 66.8
% of Possessions with IONA SCU
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 37.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 26.4%
Player Fouled 20.8% 24.6%
Turnover 11.1% 20.1%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 11.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken IONA SCU
Shot Blocked 5.5% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 35.6%