NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SMC SF
Points 67.9 61.9
Total Points   129.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.1 34.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 17.0
Points From Free Throws 13.4 10.4
Shooting SMC SF
Field Goals Made 23.7 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 53.1 53.9
Field Goal % 44.6% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 47.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 13.4 10.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 14.0
Free Throw % 67.1% 74.2%
Ball Control SMC SF
Rebounds 36.6 29.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 5.9
Turnovers 10.8 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.1
Steals 5.6 6.2
Fouls 14.0 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: San Francisco

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SMC SF
Total Possessions 66.6
Effective Scoring Chances 65.6 62.3
% of Possessions with SMC SF
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 49.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 23.7%
Player Fouled 23.9% 21.0%
Turnover 16.2% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SMC SF
Shot Blocked 5.8% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.4% 18.0%