NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IONA CAN
Points 69.7 66.9
Total Points   136.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.2 36.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 20.6
Points From Free Throws 10.2 10.1
Shooting IONA CAN
Field Goals Made 26.0 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 54.2
Field Goal % 42.9% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 39.5 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 10.2 10.1
Free Throws Attempted 15.5 16.9
Free Throw % 66.3% 59.8%
Ball Control IONA CAN
Rebounds 31.4 39.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 11.0
Turnovers 8.4 14.2
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.5
Steals 7.5 4.4
Fouls 13.9 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Iona

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IONA CAN
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 65.8
% of Possessions with IONA CAN
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 40.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 26.5%
Player Fouled 19.3% 20.2%
Turnover 12.2% 20.6%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 10.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken IONA CAN
Shot Blocked 6.5% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 33.2%