NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring IONA MONM
Points 71.3 72.0
Total Points   143.3
Points From 2-Pointers 30.3 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 29.1 21.0
Points From Free Throws 11.9 15.3
Shooting IONA MONM
Field Goals Made 24.9 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 53.9
Field Goal % 41.2% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 33.0 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.9% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.7 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 27.3 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 11.9 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 21.4
Free Throw % 66.3% 71.6%
Ball Control IONA MONM
Rebounds 33.6 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 10.1
Turnovers 9.1 11.8
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.5
Steals 6.7 5.4
Fouls 15.7 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Monmouth

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IONA MONM
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 67.2
% of Possessions with IONA MONM
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 41.1%
3 Point Attempt 33.3% 25.9%
Player Fouled 19.4% 22.8%
Turnover 13.2% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken IONA MONM
Shot Blocked 6.7% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 31.3%